I know, you’re thinking, “No Way!” but in the world of American politics stranger things have happened, especially in Iowa where voters caucus, bargain, swap and vote several times over before the final numbers are tallied.  It’s a fascinating exercise in democracy, but wildly complicated.   Which is why the surge that former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee is experiencing is tough to assess.  No one really knows what will happen some 7 weeks from now, but Taegan Goddard over at Politicalwire has a post today suggesting that new poll set to be released tomorrow show’s Huckabee with a real shot to win Iowa.

It’s hard to know what to make of Huckabee’s numbers.  Yes, they’re on the way up.  But will he have the infrastructure in place to get those caucus-goers out on caucus night?  Will there be enough at each location to make it past the early voting?  These are the issues that plagued Howard Dean and helped John Kerry in 2004.
The Politico has a story about the dissension it Mitt Romney’s campaign.   “The strategic quandary confronted by Romney’s campaign is playing out against another challenge: an increasingly awkward rivalry between his top media advisers.  The showdown is between Alex Castellanos, Romney’s original ad man, and Stuart Stevens and Russ Schriefer, the two media consultants brought on board this summer.  Numerous sources, none of whom agreed to speak on the record, describe fierce jockeying between Castellanos and Stevens — in particular over who will dominate ad production and message promotion for the campaign.”

Could the perfect storm be on the horizon?  Is Huckabee the primary beneficiary?  Or is it Rudy Giuliani?  Political Insider has some thoughts about that.